Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 •
First Call Community Stadium
Expected Goals
2.14 (league 1.58)
0.85 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.8% | 19.3% | 13.7% |
best score tips
2 - 0
11.5%
1 - 0
10.8%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Downham Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Heybridge Swifts | 0 | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.8% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.5% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Heybridge Swifts | Downham Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 27% |
| Attack | 21% | 26% |
| Defense | 63% | 37% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Heybridge Swifts | Downham Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 33% | 20% | 25% |
| Draws | 25% | 50% | 38% | 33% | 0% | 13% |
| Loses | 25% | 50% | 38% | 33% | 80% | 63% |
Form: Heybridge Swifts: LWWDLDDL • Downham Town: WLLDLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Heybridge Swifts | Downham Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 5 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2.6 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Heybridge Swifts | Downham Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 75% | 75% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 50% | 25% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 13% | 0% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Heybridge Swifts | Downham Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Heybridge Swifts | Downham Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Heybridge Swifts | Downham Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Heybridge Swifts | Downham Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 63% | 37% |
| Poisson Distribution | 70% | 30% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 55.0% | 45.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Heybridge Swifts or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Heybridge Swifts = 2.14 (league 1.58), Downham Town = 0.85 (league 1.23)
| Downham Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Heybridge Swifts | 0 | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.8% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.5% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.2% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.8% · Draw 19.3% · Away win 13.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1