Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 •
First Call Community Stadium
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.58)
1.27 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.6% | 28.5% | 43.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
13.8%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Grays Athletic | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Heybridge Swifts | 0 | 10.9% | 13.8% | 8.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 13.1% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Heybridge Swifts | Grays Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 47% |
| Attack | 17% | 28% |
| Defense | 56% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Heybridge Swifts | Grays Athletic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Wins | 33% | 0% | 17% | 20% | 17% | 18% |
| Draws | 33% | 50% | 42% | 60% | 50% | 55% |
| Loses | 33% | 50% | 42% | 20% | 33% | 27% |
Form: Heybridge Swifts: LWWDLDDLLDDL • Grays Athletic: WLDLLDDDWDD
League goals
| Metric | Heybridge Swifts | Grays Athletic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 8 | 9 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 14 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Heybridge Swifts | Grays Athletic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 58% | 75% | 73% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 50% | 18% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 17% | 18% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Heybridge Swifts | Grays Athletic | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Heybridge Swifts | Grays Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Heybridge Swifts | Grays Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Heybridge Swifts | Grays Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 22% | 78% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 45% | 55% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 45% | 55% |
| Total | 38.8% | 61.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Grays Athletic
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Heybridge Swifts = 0.95 (league 1.58), Grays Athletic = 1.27 (league 1.23)
| Grays Athletic | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Heybridge Swifts | 0 | 10.9% | 13.8% | 8.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 13.1% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.6% · Draw 28.5% · Away win 43.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1