AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Long Eaton United

Non League Div One - Northern Midlands — England

Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • Hayden Road

Match Finished

AFC Rushden & Diamonds

2 - 1

Long Eaton United

Expected Goals

0.91 (league 1.64) 1.52 (league 1.31)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
22.6%	25.8%	51.1%

best score tips

0 - 1

13.3%

1 - 1

12.2%

0 - 2

10.1%

Score & goals probability table

		Long Eaton United
		0	1	2	3	4	5
AFC Rushden & Diamonds	0	8.7%	13.3%	10.1%	5.2%	2.0%	0.6%
	1	8.0%	12.2%	9.3%	4.7%	1.8%	0.5%
	2	3.6%	5.6%	4.2%	2.2%	0.8%	0.3%
	3	1.1%	1.7%	1.3%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%
	4	0.3%	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	AFC Rushden & Diamonds	Long Eaton United
Played	5	5
Form	40%	73%
Attack	26%	43%
Defense	57%	83%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	10 \| 2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	10 \| 2	4 \| 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%

FT probability

2.5+

54%

FT probability

3.5+

39%

FT probability

BTTS

73%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	AFC Rushden & Diamonds			Long Eaton United
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	4	3	7	3	3	6
Wins	50%	0%	29%	33%	67%	50%
Draws	25%	33%	29%	33%	33%	33%
Loses	25%	67%	43%	33%	0%	17%

Form: AFC Rushden & Diamonds: DDWLLLW • Long Eaton United: LWWDDW

League goals

Metric	AFC Rushden & Diamonds			Long Eaton United
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	6	2	8	4	6	10
GF avg	1.5	0.7	1.1	1.3	2.0	1.7
GA total	4	8	12	2	3	5
GA avg	1.0	2.7	1.7	0.7	1.0	0.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	AFC Rushden & Diamonds		Long Eaton United
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	71%	86%	83%	67%
1.5	14%	43%	50%	17%
2.5	14%	29%	33%	0%
3.5	14%	14%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	AFC Rushden & Diamonds			Long Eaton United
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	0	1	1	1	2
Failed to score	1	1	2	1	0	1

Penalties

Metric	AFC Rushden & Diamonds	Long Eaton United
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	AFC Rushden & Diamonds	Long Eaton United
Wins	1	2
Draws	2	2
Losses	3	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-2	—	3-0	0-2
Biggest losses	0-1	4-1	0-1	—
Goals For	4	1	3	3
Goals Against	2	4	1	2

Model comparison

Metric	AFC Rushden & Diamonds	Long Eaton United
Form	35%	65%
Att	38%	63%
Def	29%	71%
Poisson Distribution	42%	58%
H2h	50%	50%
Goals	50%	50%
Total	40.7%	59.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Long Eaton United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Long Eaton United

Expected goals (λ): AFC Rushden & Diamonds = 0.91 (league 1.64), Long Eaton United = 1.52 (league 1.31)

		Long Eaton United
		0	1	2	3	4	5
AFC Rushden & Diamonds	0	8.7%	13.3%	10.1%	5.2%	2.0%	0.6%
	1	8.0%	12.2%	9.3%	4.7%	1.8%	0.5%
	2	3.6%	5.6%	4.2%	2.2%	0.8%	0.3%
	3	1.1%	1.7%	1.3%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%
	4	0.3%	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.6% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 51.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	AFC Rushden & Diamonds	Long Eaton United
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0