Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 •
Trade Tyre Community Stadium
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.63)
1.58 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.3% | 25.2% | 53.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
13.8%
1 - 1
11.8%
0 - 2
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Rugby Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lichfield City | 0 | 8.7% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Lichfield City | Rugby Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 33% |
| Attack | 22% | 26% |
| Defense | 83% | 65% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Lichfield City | Rugby Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Wins | 25% | 67% | 43% | 0% | 40% | 25% |
| Draws | 25% | 33% | 29% | 0% | 40% | 25% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 29% | 100% | 20% | 50% |
Form: Lichfield City: LWDWWDL • Rugby Town: LWLLLDDW
League goals
| Metric | Lichfield City | Rugby Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Lichfield City | Rugby Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 57% | 88% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 14% | 38% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Lichfield City | Rugby Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Lichfield City | Rugby Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Lichfield City | Rugby Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-1 | — | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Lichfield City | Rugby Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 53.5% | 46.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Lichfield City or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Lichfield City = 0.86 (league 1.63), Rugby Town = 1.58 (league 1.31)
| Rugby Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Lichfield City | 0 | 8.7% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.3% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 53.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1