Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:00 •
The JJ Mac Stadium
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.63)
0.43 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.3% | 34.6% | 15.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
24.0%
0 - 0
23.2%
2 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Shepshed Dynamo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bourne Town | 0 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.0% | 10.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.4% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bourne Town | Shepshed Dynamo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 67% |
| Attack | 38% | 50% |
| Defense | 50% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bourne Town | Shepshed Dynamo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| Wins | 25% | 20% | 22% | 50% | 33% | 44% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 11% | 17% | 33% | 22% |
| Loses | 50% | 80% | 67% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Form: Bourne Town: LLLWDLLWL • Shepshed Dynamo: DLLWWWDLW
League goals
| Metric | Bourne Town | Shepshed Dynamo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 2 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 3 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bourne Town | Shepshed Dynamo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 89% | 78% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 44% | 33% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 11% | 22% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 0% | 11% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 11% | 11% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bourne Town | Shepshed Dynamo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bourne Town | Shepshed Dynamo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bourne Town | Shepshed Dynamo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-2 | 5-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-1 | 1-5 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bourne Town | Shepshed Dynamo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 41.3% | 58.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Shepshed Dynamo
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Bourne Town = 1.04 (league 1.63), Shepshed Dynamo = 0.43 (league 1.31)
| Shepshed Dynamo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bourne Town | 0 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 24.0% | 10.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.4% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.3% · Draw 34.6% · Away win 15.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1