Tue, Oct 7 2025 • 18:45 •
The JJ Mac Stadium
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.58)
1.31 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.0% | 25.9% | 35.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.3%
1 - 0
9.4%
0 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Basford United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bourne Town | 0 | 6.9% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.4% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bourne Town | Basford United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 60% |
| Attack | 43% | 71% |
| Defense | 29% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bourne Town | Basford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Wins | 20% | 20% | 20% | 50% | 60% | 56% |
| Draws | 20% | 0% | 10% | 50% | 0% | 22% |
| Loses | 60% | 80% | 70% | 0% | 40% | 22% |
Form: Bourne Town: LLLWDLLWLL • Basford United: DWWDWLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Bourne Town | Basford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 6 | 10 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 14 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bourne Town | Basford United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 90% | 89% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 50% | 56% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 20% | 22% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 0% | 22% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bourne Town | Basford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bourne Town | Basford United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bourne Town | Basford United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-2 | 4-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-1 | — | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bourne Town | Basford United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 40.5% | 59.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Basford United
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Bourne Town = 1.36 (league 1.58), Basford United = 1.31 (league 1.28)
| Basford United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bourne Town | 0 | 6.9% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.4% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.0% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 35.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1