Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 14:00 •
Abbey Lawn
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.64)
1.30 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.7% | 25.4% | 33.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
1 - 0
9.3%
2 - 1
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Long Eaton United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bourne Town | 0 | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.3% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.8% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bourne Town | Long Eaton United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 40% |
| Attack | 25% | 58% |
| Defense | 50% | 8% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bourne Town | Long Eaton United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 33% | 14% | 23% | 50% | 33% | 42% |
| Draws | 17% | 29% | 23% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
| Loses | 50% | 57% | 54% | 33% | 50% | 42% |
Form: Bourne Town: LLLWDLLWLLWDD • Long Eaton United: LWWDDWLLLLWW
League goals
| Metric | Bourne Town | Long Eaton United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 5 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 6 | 11 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 18 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bourne Town | Long Eaton United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 62% | 77% | 75% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 15% | 38% | 42% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 15% | 33% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bourne Town | Long Eaton United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bourne Town | Long Eaton United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bourne Town | Long Eaton United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-1 | 0-4 | 5-3 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bourne Town | Long Eaton United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 30% | 70% |
| Def | 65% | 35% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 48.8% | 51.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Bourne Town or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Bourne Town = 1.46 (league 1.64), Long Eaton United = 1.30 (league 1.31)
| Long Eaton United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bourne Town | 0 | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.3% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.8% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.7% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 33.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1