Tue, Oct 14 2025 • 18:45 •
The Charles Sports Ground
Expected Goals
5.08 (league 1.93)
0.78 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
best score tips
5 - 0
8.0%
4 - 0
7.9%
5 - 1
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Ashford United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Deal Town | 0 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.9% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.0% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Deal Town | Ashford United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 46% | 42% |
| Defense | 73% | 65% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
62%
FT probability
BTTS
84%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Deal Town | Ashford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 40% | 33% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 0% | 17% | 10% | 33% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 50% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 100% | 50% |
Form: Deal Town: LLLWLWDWWL • Ashford United: LDLDWLLW
League goals
| Metric | Deal Town | Ashford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 8 | 19 | 13 | 1 | 14 |
| GF avg | 2.8 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 9 | 13 | 22 | 11 | 7 | 18 |
| GA avg | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 3.5 | 2.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Deal Town | Ashford United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 80% | 75% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 50% | 25% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 10% | 13% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 10% | 10% | 13% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Deal Town | Ashford United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Deal Town | Ashford United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Deal Town | Ashford United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-3 | 1-3 | 5-2 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 6-1 | 1-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Deal Town | Ashford United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 52% | 48% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 86% | 14% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 55.6% | 44.4% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Deal Town and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Deal Town = 5.08 (league 1.93), Ashford United = 0.78 (league 1.47)
| Ashford United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Deal Town | 0 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.9% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.0% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.6% · Draw 3.2% · Away win 1.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1