Wed, Sep 3 2025 • 20:00 •
Estadio Polideportivo Sur
Expected Goals
2.87 (league 1.39)
0.58 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 76.9% | 11.1% | 4.9% |
best score tips
2 - 0
13.1%
3 - 0
12.6%
1 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Millonarios | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Envigado | 0 | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.2% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.1% | 7.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.6% | 7.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.0% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Envigado | Millonarios |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 2 |
| Form | 83% | 50% |
| Attack | 50% | 25% |
| Defense | 75% | 81% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
82%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Envigado | Millonarios | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 75% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
Form: Envigado: WWDW • Millonarios: WL
League goals
| Metric | Envigado | Millonarios | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Envigado | Millonarios | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Envigado | Millonarios | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Envigado | Millonarios |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Envigado | Millonarios |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Envigado | Millonarios |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 77% | 23% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 83% | 17% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 22% | 78% |
| Total | 51.2% | 48.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Envigado or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Envigado = 2.87 (league 1.39), Millonarios = 0.58 (league 0.87)
| Millonarios | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Envigado | 0 | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.2% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.1% | 7.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.6% | 7.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.0% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.9% · Draw 11.1% · Away win 4.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1