Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 15:00 • Yerevan Football Academy
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.32 (league 1.78) 1.06 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
11.0% 34.6% 54.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
26.8%
0 - 0
25.4%
0 - 2
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
Ararat-Armenia
0 1 2 3 4 5
BKMA 0 25.4% 26.8% 14.1% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3%
1 8.0% 8.4% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 1.3% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBKMAArarat-Armenia
Played55
Form33%87%
Attack40%100%
Defense40%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric BKMA Ararat-Armenia
HATHAT
Played516336
Wins20%0%17%67%67%67%
Draws60%0%50%33%33%33%
Loses20%100%33%0%0%0%

Form: BKMA: DWDDLL • Ararat-Armenia: DWWWDW

League goals

Metric BKMA Ararat-Armenia
HATHAT
GF total4158412
GF avg0.81.00.82.71.32.0
GA total527527
GA avg1.02.01.21.70.71.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBKMAArarat-Armenia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%83%67%
1.517%33%67%50%
2.50%17%33%0%
3.50%0%17%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBKMAArarat-Armenia
HATHAT
Clean sheets202022
Failed to score202011

Penalties

MetricBKMAArarat-Armenia
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricBKMAArarat-Armenia
Wins13
Draws21
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-14-22-3
Biggest losses1-32-1
Goals For2143
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricBKMAArarat-Armenia
Form28%72%
Att25%75%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution21%79%
H2h0%100%
Goals17%83%
Total29.0%71.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Ararat-Armenia

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home9.15 @ 1xBet
Draw5.35 @ Pinnacle
Away1.33 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.45 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.62 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Pinnacle
No2.10 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): BKMA = 0.32 (league 1.78), Ararat-Armenia = 1.06 (league 1.23)

Ararat-Armenia
0 1 2 3 4 5
BKMA 0 25.4% 26.8% 14.1% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3%
1 8.0% 8.4% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 1.3% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.0% · Draw 34.6% · Away win 54.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1