Wed, Oct 22 2025 • 19:00 • Estádio José Alvalade
Not Started
Expected Goals
4.64 (league 1.72) 0.78 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.7% 4.2% 2.0%
best score tips
4 - 0
8.5%
5 - 0
7.9%
3 - 0
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Marseille
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting CP 0 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.8% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.4% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.5% 6.7% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
5 7.9% 6.2% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSporting CPMarseille
Played22
Form50%50%
Attack33%33%
Defense80%87%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 2.55 | 2.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 1.52 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

91%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sporting CP Marseille
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins100%0%50%100%0%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%100%50%0%100%50%

Form: Sporting CP: WL • Marseille: LW

League goals

Metric Sporting CP Marseille
HATHAT
GF total415415
GF avg4.01.02.54.01.02.5
GA total123022
GA avg1.02.01.50.02.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSporting CPMarseille
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%50%
1.550%50%50%50%
2.550%0%50%0%
3.550%0%50%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSporting CPMarseille
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricSporting CPMarseille
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSporting CPMarseille
Wins10
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-14-0
Biggest losses2-12-1
Goals For4141
Goals Against1202

Model comparison

MetricSporting CPMarseille
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h0%100%
Goals14%86%
Total47.6%52.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Marseille and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.23 @ 1xBet
Draw3.78 @ 1xBet
Away3.32 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ William Hill
No2.48 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.29 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sporting CP = 4.64 (league 1.72), Marseille = 0.78 (league 1.28)

Marseille
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting CP 0 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.8% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.4% 5.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.5% 6.7% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
5 7.9% 6.2% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.7% · Draw 4.2% · Away win 2.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1