Thu, Oct 2 2025 • 19:00 • Estadio Abanca-Balaídos
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.31 (league 1.59) 0.85 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.0% 40.2% 46.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
31.3%
0 - 1
26.5%
0 - 2
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
PAOK
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celta Vigo 0 31.3% 26.5% 11.3% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1%
1 9.8% 8.3% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCelta VigoPAOK
Played15
Form0%53%
Attack8%50%
Defense83%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 21 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

39%
FT probability

2.5+

27%
FT probability

3.5+

19%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Celta Vigo PAOK
HATHAT
Played011325
Wins0%0%33%50%40%
Draws0%0%67%0%40%
Loses100%100%0%50%20%

Form: Celta Vigo: L • PAOK: DWLWD

League goals

Metric Celta Vigo PAOK
HATHAT
GF total011516
GF avg0.01.01.01.70.51.2
GA total022011
GA avg0.02.02.00.00.50.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCelta VigoPAOK
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%40%20%
1.50%100%20%0%
2.50%0%20%0%
3.50%0%20%0%
4.50%0%20%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCelta VigoPAOK
HATHAT
Clean sheets000314
Failed to score000213

Penalties

MetricCelta VigoPAOK
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCelta VigoPAOK
Wins01
Draws01
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-1
Biggest losses2-11-0
Goals For0151
Goals Against0201

Model comparison

MetricCelta VigoPAOK
Form0%100%
Att14%86%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total23.5%76.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or PAOK

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.72 @ 1xBet
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away5.50 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.96 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.96 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Pinnacle
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Celta Vigo = 0.31 (league 1.59), PAOK = 0.85 (league 1.18)

PAOK
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celta Vigo 0 31.3% 26.5% 11.3% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1%
1 9.8% 8.3% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 1.5% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.0% · Draw 40.2% · Away win 46.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1