Mon, Oct 20 2025 • 14:30 • Arena Arda
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.35) 0.55 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.3% 28.3% 15.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.1%
0 - 0
14.9%
2 - 0
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
Septemvri Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arda Kardzhali 0 14.9% 8.2% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.1% 11.1% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.6% 7.5% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.1% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArda KardzhaliSeptemvri Sofia
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack30%60%
Defense40%10%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arda Kardzhali Septemvri Sofia
HATHAT
Played65116511
Wins17%40%27%33%0%18%
Draws50%0%27%17%20%18%
Loses33%60%45%50%80%64%

Form: Arda Kardzhali: LDWDLDLWLLW • Septemvri Sofia: LLLLWLWLLDD

League goals

Metric Arda Kardzhali Septemvri Sofia
HATHAT
GF total47119312
GF avg0.71.41.01.50.61.1
GA total6612111324
GA avg1.01.21.11.82.62.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArda KardzhaliSeptemvri Sofia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.545%64%82%91%
1.527%36%27%73%
2.59%9%0%36%
3.59%0%0%9%
4.59%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArda KardzhaliSeptemvri Sofia
HATHAT
Clean sheets224101
Failed to score336022

Penalties

MetricArda KardzhaliSeptemvri Sofia
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricArda KardzhaliSeptemvri Sofia
Wins11
Draws10
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-52-1
Biggest losses0-23-01-35-0
Goals For2521
Goals Against2335

Model comparison

MetricArda KardzhaliSeptemvri Sofia
Form55%45%
Att33%67%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h80%20%
Goals69%31%
Total60.7%39.3%

Advice: Double chance : Arda Kardzhali or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ Bet365
Draw4.50 @ Marathonbet
Away8.50 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.96 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arda Kardzhali = 1.35 (league 1.35), Septemvri Sofia = 0.55 (league 1.09)

Septemvri Sofia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arda Kardzhali 0 14.9% 8.2% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.1% 11.1% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.6% 7.5% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.1% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.3% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 15.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1