Thu, Oct 2 2025 • 19:00 • De Kuip
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.59) 0.85 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
2.1% 42.4% 55.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
40.7%
0 - 1
34.6%
0 - 2
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
Aston Villa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Feyenoord 0 40.7% 34.6% 14.7% 4.2% 0.9% 0.1%
1 2.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFeyenoordAston Villa
Played11
Form0%100%
Attack0%8%
Defense92%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)0 | 01 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 10 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

14%
FT probability

2.5+

10%
FT probability

3.5+

7%
FT probability

BTTS

37%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Feyenoord Aston Villa
HATHAT
Played011101
Wins0%0%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%
Loses100%100%0%0%

Form: Feyenoord: L • Aston Villa: W

League goals

Metric Feyenoord Aston Villa
HATHAT
GF total000101
GF avg0.00.00.01.00.01.0
GA total011000
GA avg0.01.01.00.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFeyenoordAston Villa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.50%100%100%0%
1.50%0%0%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFeyenoordAston Villa
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricFeyenoordAston Villa
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFeyenoordAston Villa
Wins01
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0
Biggest losses1-0
Goals For0010
Goals Against0100

Model comparison

MetricFeyenoordAston Villa
Form0%100%
Att0%100%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total0%0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Aston Villa and -2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.24 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ 188Bet
Away2.30 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.04 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ 188Bet
No2.27 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Feyenoord = 0.05 (league 1.59), Aston Villa = 0.85 (league 1.18)

Aston Villa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Feyenoord 0 40.7% 34.6% 14.7% 4.2% 0.9% 0.1%
1 2.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.1% · Draw 42.4% · Away win 55.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1