Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 19:30 • Estádio Primeiro de Maio
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.01) 0.65 (league 0.77)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.9% 31.4% 20.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.1%
0 - 0
16.5%
1 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Floresta
0 1 2 3 4 5
São Bernardo 0 16.5% 10.7% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.1% 12.3% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.0% 7.1% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSão BernardoFloresta
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack50%33%
Defense17%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 11 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

51%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric São Bernardo Floresta
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins36%36%36%55%9%32%
Draws45%36%41%36%45%41%
Loses18%27%23%9%45%27%

Form: São Bernardo: DLWDWWLLDWDWWDWWLDLDDD • Floresta: LLDWWDDWLWDWLDDWLLWDDD

League goals

Metric São Bernardo Floresta
HATHAT
GF total1472110515
GF avg1.30.61.00.90.50.7
GA total1161751015
GA avg1.00.50.80.50.90.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSão BernardoFloresta
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%50%45%50%
1.523%18%18%18%
2.55%9%5%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSão BernardoFloresta
HATHAT
Clean sheets56117411
Failed to score2574812

Penalties

MetricSão BernardoFloresta
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSão BernardoFloresta
Wins22
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-22-02-3
Biggest losses0-32-00-22-0
Goals For3223
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricSão BernardoFloresta
Form40%60%
Att60%40%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h36%64%
Goals33%67%
Total42.0%58.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Floresta and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.79 @ Unibet
Draw3.16 @ Pinnacle
Away6.27 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.40 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.00 @ Bet365
No1.46 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): São Bernardo = 1.15 (league 1.01), Floresta = 0.65 (league 0.77)

Floresta
0 1 2 3 4 5
São Bernardo 0 16.5% 10.7% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.1% 12.3% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.0% 7.1% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.2% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.9% · Draw 31.4% · Away win 20.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1