Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Comunale Progresso
Expected Goals
0.21 (league 1.13)
2.19 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.7% | 13.7% | 81.1% |
best score tips
0 - 2
21.7%
0 - 1
19.8%
0 - 3
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Pistoiese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Progresso | 0 | 9.0% | 19.8% | 21.7% | 15.9% | 8.7% | 3.8% |
| 1 | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Progresso | Pistoiese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 60% |
| Attack | 50% | 100% |
| Defense | 17% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Progresso | Pistoiese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 0% | 25% | 13% | 25% | 75% | 50% |
| Draws | 25% | 25% | 25% | 75% | 25% | 50% |
| Loses | 75% | 50% | 63% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Progresso: LLDLLWLD • Pistoiese: DWWWDDWD
League goals
| Metric | Progresso | Pistoiese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 15 |
| GF avg | 0.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 2.5 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 4 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Progresso | Pistoiese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 88% | 88% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 25% | 50% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 13% | 38% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 13% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Progresso | Pistoiese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Progresso | Pistoiese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Progresso | Pistoiese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | 3-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-3 | — | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Progresso | Pistoiese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31% | 69% |
| Att | 23% | 77% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 6% | 94% |
| H2h | 9% | 91% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 22.2% | 77.8% |
Advice: Winner : Pistoiese
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Progresso = 0.21 (league 1.13), Pistoiese = 2.19 (league 1.14)
| Pistoiese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Progresso | 0 | 9.0% | 19.8% | 21.7% | 15.9% | 8.7% | 3.8% |
| 1 | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.7% · Draw 13.7% · Away win 81.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1