Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Independencia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.53 (league 1.53) 0.81 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.8% 25.8% 19.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.7%
1 - 1
12.0%
2 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
UNAN Managua
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Estelí 0 9.6% 7.8% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.7% 12.0% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.3% 9.1% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.7% 4.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricReal EstelíUNAN Managua
Played55
Form53%20%
Attack54%46%
Defense54%23%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Real Estelí UNAN Managua
HATHAT
Played55107310
Wins80%40%60%14%33%20%
Draws20%40%30%29%0%20%
Loses0%20%10%57%67%60%

Form: Real Estelí: WDWWWDWLWD • UNAN Managua: LDLDWWLLLL

League goals

Metric Real Estelí UNAN Managua
HATHAT
GF total971612315
GF avg1.81.41.61.71.01.5
GA total461017421
GA avg0.81.21.02.41.32.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineReal EstelíUNAN Managua
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%70%70%90%
1.540%20%40%50%
2.520%10%20%40%
3.510%0%10%30%
4.50%0%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricReal EstelíUNAN Managua
HATHAT
Clean sheets213011
Failed to score101123

Penalties

MetricReal EstelíUNAN Managua
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricReal EstelíUNAN Managua
Wins32
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-35-10-3
Biggest losses3-11-43-0
Goals For4353
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricReal EstelíUNAN Managua
Form73%27%
Att54%46%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h85%15%
Goals81%19%
Total71.0%29.2%

Advice: Double chance : Real Estelí or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.34 @ Betano
Draw4.75 @ Bet365
Away11.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.32 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Superbet
No1.87 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Real Estelí = 1.53 (league 1.53), UNAN Managua = 0.81 (league 0.99)

UNAN Managua
0 1 2 3 4 5
Real Estelí 0 9.6% 7.8% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.7% 12.0% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.3% 9.1% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.7% 4.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.8% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 19.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1