Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 16:00 •
Estadio A Lomba
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.32)
0.91 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.0% | 25.9% | 22.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.4%
1 - 1
12.2%
2 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Polvorín | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arosa | 0 | 8.8% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.4% | 12.2% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Arosa | Polvorín |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 67% | 67% |
| Attack | 31% | 15% |
| Defense | 77% | 92% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1.5 | 1 | 0.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
85%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Arosa | Polvorín | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Arosa: WD • Polvorín: DW
League goals
| Metric | Arosa | Polvorín | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Arosa | Polvorín | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 50% | 0% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Arosa | Polvorín | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Arosa | Polvorín |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Arosa | Polvorín |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Arosa | Polvorín |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 73% | 27% |
| Total | 62.2% | 37.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Arosa or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Arosa = 1.52 (league 1.32), Polvorín = 0.91 (league 1.10)
| Polvorín | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arosa | 0 | 8.8% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.4% | 12.2% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.0% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 22.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1