Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 16:30 • Estadio A Lomba
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.54 (league 1.32) 3.50 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.6% 12.0% 18.2%
best score tips
4 - 3
4.1%
5 - 3
3.7%
3 - 3
3.6%
Score & goals probability table
Barbadás
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arosa 0 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
1 0.1% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6%
2 0.3% 1.2% 2.0% 2.4% 2.1% 1.5%
3 0.5% 1.8% 3.1% 3.6% 3.1% 2.2%
4 0.6% 2.0% 3.5% 4.1% 3.6% 2.5%
5 0.5% 1.8% 3.2% 3.7% 3.2% 2.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArosaBarbadás
Played44
Form67%42%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 25 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 1.36 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

76%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arosa Barbadás
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%50%50%0%50%25%
Draws50%50%50%100%0%50%
Loses0%0%0%0%50%25%

Form: Arosa: WDDW • Barbadás: WDLD

League goals

Metric Arosa Barbadás
HATHAT
GF total448055
GF avg2.02.02.00.02.51.3
GA total325066
GA avg1.51.01.30.03.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArosaBarbadás
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%75%50%50%
1.5100%50%25%50%
2.50%0%25%25%
3.50%0%25%25%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArosaBarbadás
HATHAT
Clean sheets011202
Failed to score000202

Penalties

MetricArosaBarbadás
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricArosaBarbadás
Wins11
Draws21
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-22-4
Biggest losses4-1
Goals For2204
Goals Against2204

Model comparison

MetricArosaBarbadás
Form62%38%
Att62%38%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total56.8%43.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Arosa or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arosa = 4.54 (league 1.32), Barbadás = 3.50 (league 1.07)

Barbadás
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arosa 0 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
1 0.1% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 0.6%
2 0.3% 1.2% 2.0% 2.4% 2.1% 1.5%
3 0.5% 1.8% 3.1% 3.6% 3.1% 2.2%
4 0.6% 2.0% 3.5% 4.1% 3.6% 2.5%
5 0.5% 1.8% 3.2% 3.7% 3.2% 2.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.6% · Draw 12.0% · Away win 18.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1