Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 10:00 •
Estadio Santa Cruz
Expected Goals
0.35 (league 1.41)
4.33 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7% | 3.0% | 69.5% |
best score tips
0 - 4
13.6%
0 - 3
12.6%
0 - 5
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Covadonga | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gijón Industrial | 0 | 0.9% | 4.0% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 11.8% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gijón Industrial | Covadonga |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 87% |
| Attack | 24% | 82% |
| Defense | 59% | 76% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gijón Industrial | Covadonga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 67% | 67% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Gijón Industrial: LLDDLL • Covadonga: DWDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Gijón Industrial | Covadonga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 |
| GA total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gijón Industrial | Covadonga | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 83% | 100% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 50% | 67% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gijón Industrial | Covadonga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gijón Industrial | Covadonga |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gijón Industrial | Covadonga |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 3-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 1-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gijón Industrial | Covadonga |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 13% | 87% |
| Att | 22% | 78% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 6% | 94% |
| H2h | 9% | 91% |
| Goals | 27% | 73% |
| Total | 18.8% | 81.2% |
Advice: Winner : Covadonga
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Gijón Industrial = 0.35 (league 1.41), Covadonga = 4.33 (league 1.18)
| Covadonga | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gijón Industrial | 0 | 0.9% | 4.0% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 11.8% |
| 1 | 0.3% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.7% · Draw 3.0% · Away win 69.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1