Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 16:00 • Estadio La Florida
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.53) 0.62 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.6% 40.7% 28.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
28.3%
1 - 0
18.3%
0 - 1
17.4%
Score & goals probability table
Pasaia KE
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portugalete 0 28.3% 17.4% 5.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.3% 11.3% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.9% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPortugaletePasaia KE
Played55
Form87%53%
Attack88%19%
Defense69%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Portugalete Pasaia KE
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins100%67%83%0%100%50%
Draws0%33%17%67%0%33%
Loses0%0%0%33%0%17%

Form: Portugalete: WWDWWW • Pasaia KE: WLWDWD

League goals

Metric Portugalete Pasaia KE
HATHAT
GF total10616134
GF avg3.32.02.70.31.00.7
GA total246202
GA avg0.71.31.00.70.00.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePortugaletePasaia KE
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%67%33%
1.567%33%0%0%
2.550%0%0%0%
3.517%0%0%0%
4.517%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPortugaletePasaia KE
HATHAT
Clean sheets202134
Failed to score000202

Penalties

MetricPortugaletePasaia KE
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricPortugaletePasaia KE
Wins21
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-02-30-1
Biggest losses0-1
Goals For6311
Goals Against2210

Model comparison

MetricPortugaletePasaia KE
Form62%38%
Att82%18%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h60%40%
Goals75%25%
Total61.6%38.4%

Advice: Combo Winner : Portugalete and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Portugalete = 0.65 (league 1.53), Pasaia KE = 0.62 (league 1.14)

Pasaia KE
0 1 2 3 4 5
Portugalete 0 28.3% 17.4% 5.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.3% 11.3% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.9% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.6% · Draw 40.7% · Away win 28.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1