Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 14:30 •
Estadio Galapagar
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.49)
1.25 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.9% | 29.8% | 50.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
18.3%
0 - 0
14.7%
1 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Leganés II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Galapagar | 0 | 14.7% | 18.3% | 11.5% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 12.3% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Galapagar | Leganés II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 67% | 67% |
| Attack | 28% | 28% |
| Defense | 83% | 94% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 5 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 1 | 0.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Galapagar | Leganés II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 100% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Galapagar: WDWD • Leganés II: DDWW
League goals
| Metric | Galapagar | Leganés II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Galapagar | Leganés II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 75% | 75% | 25% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Galapagar | Leganés II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Galapagar | Leganés II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Galapagar | Leganés II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Galapagar | Leganés II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 33% | 67% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 50.0% | 50.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Galapagar or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Galapagar = 0.67 (league 1.49), Leganés II = 1.25 (league 1.20)
| Leganés II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Galapagar | 0 | 14.7% | 18.3% | 11.5% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 9.8% | 12.3% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.9% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 50.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1