Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 10:15 •
Estadio San Ignacio
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.33)
3.76 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 0.1% | 2.7% | 79.4% |
best score tips
0 - 3
19.6%
0 - 4
18.4%
0 - 2
15.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Marbelli | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| El Palo | 0 | 2.2% | 8.4% | 15.7% | 19.6% | 18.4% | 13.8% |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | El Palo | Marbelli |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 17% | 100% |
| Attack | 0% | 60% |
| Defense | 60% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
57%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | El Palo | Marbelli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 0% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 100% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: El Palo: LD • Marbelli: WW
League goals
| Metric | El Palo | Marbelli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | El Palo | Marbelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 0% | 50% | 100% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 50% | 50% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | El Palo | Marbelli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | El Palo | Marbelli |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | El Palo | Marbelli |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | El Palo | Marbelli |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 14% | 86% |
| Att | 0% | 100% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 32.5% | 67.5% |
Advice: Winner : Marbelli
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): El Palo = 0.05 (league 1.33), Marbelli = 3.76 (league 1.07)
| Marbelli | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| El Palo | 0 | 2.2% | 8.4% | 15.7% | 19.6% | 18.4% | 13.8% |
| 1 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.1% · Draw 2.7% · Away win 79.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1