Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 10:00 •
Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud
Expected Goals
0.38 (league 1.33)
0.75 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.8% | 42.2% | 40.9% |
best score tips
0 - 0
32.4%
0 - 1
24.3%
1 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Churriana Vega | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mancha Real | 0 | 32.4% | 24.3% | 9.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.2% | 9.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mancha Real | Churriana Vega |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 67% |
| Attack | 50% | 60% |
| Defense | 60% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
45%
FT probability
2.5+
32%
FT probability
3.5+
23%
FT probability
BTTS
52%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mancha Real | Churriana Vega | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 40% | 67% | 50% | 60% |
| Draws | 50% | 33% | 40% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 20% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
Form: Mancha Real: WDLWD • Churriana Vega: DWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Mancha Real | Churriana Vega | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mancha Real | Churriana Vega | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 60% | 100% | 40% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mancha Real | Churriana Vega | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mancha Real | Churriana Vega |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mancha Real | Churriana Vega |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-2 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 2-3 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mancha Real | Churriana Vega |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 46.3% | 53.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Mancha Real or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mancha Real = 0.38 (league 1.33), Churriana Vega = 0.75 (league 1.07)
| Churriana Vega | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mancha Real | 0 | 32.4% | 24.3% | 9.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.2% | 9.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.8% · Draw 42.2% · Away win 40.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1