Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 16:30 •
Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero
Expected Goals
0.23 (league 1.49)
0.42 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 14.4% | 57.2% | 28.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
51.9%
0 - 1
21.9%
1 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Diocesano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Badajoz | 0 | 51.9% | 21.9% | 4.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.2% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Badajoz | Diocesano |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 4 |
| Form | 33% | 50% |
| Attack | 18% | 64% |
| Defense | 82% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 7 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 5 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
46%
FT probability
2.5+
33%
FT probability
3.5+
23%
FT probability
BTTS
49%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Badajoz | Diocesano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 75% |
| Loses | 100% | 50% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Badajoz: LLW • Diocesano: DDDW
League goals
| Metric | Badajoz | Diocesano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Badajoz | Diocesano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 67% | 75% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Badajoz | Diocesano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Badajoz | Diocesano |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Badajoz | Diocesano |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-2 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Badajoz | Diocesano |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 22% | 78% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 45.2% | 54.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Diocesano and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Badajoz = 0.23 (league 1.49), Diocesano = 0.42 (league 1.19)
| Diocesano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Badajoz | 0 | 51.9% | 21.9% | 4.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.2% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.4% · Draw 57.2% · Away win 28.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1