Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 15:00 •
Estadio Papa Luna
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.15)
1.02 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.4% | 28.7% | 30.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.3%
1 - 0
13.0%
0 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Épila | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Illueca | 0 | 10.7% | 10.9% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 13.3% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Illueca | Épila |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 56% | 78% |
| Attack | 29% | 57% |
| Defense | 86% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 4 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 2 | 0.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
57%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
48%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Illueca | Épila | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 100% | 67% |
| Draws | 100% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Illueca: DDW • Épila: WWD
League goals
| Metric | Illueca | Épila | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Illueca | Épila | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 33% | 67% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Illueca | Épila | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Illueca | Épila |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Illueca | Épila |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | 1-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Illueca | Épila |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 49.4% | 50.6% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Illueca or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Illueca = 1.22 (league 1.15), Épila = 1.02 (league 0.88)
| Épila | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Illueca | 0 | 10.7% | 10.9% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 13.3% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.4% · Draw 28.7% · Away win 30.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1