Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 17:00 • Estadio Municipal de Illescas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.53 (league 1.32) 0.30 (league 1.00)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.8% 50.9% 16.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
43.7%
1 - 0
23.1%
0 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Calvo Sotelo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Illescas 0 43.7% 13.0% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.1% 6.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIllescasCalvo Sotelo
Played33
Form56%44%
Attack33%83%
Defense83%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.75 | 1.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.34 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

43%
FT probability

2.5+

30%
FT probability

3.5+

21%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Illescas Calvo Sotelo
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins0%50%33%50%0%33%
Draws100%50%67%0%100%33%
Loses0%0%0%50%0%33%

Form: Illescas: DDW • Calvo Sotelo: LDW

League goals

Metric Illescas Calvo Sotelo
HATHAT
GF total022415
GF avg0.01.00.72.01.01.7
GA total011314
GA avg0.00.50.31.51.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIllescasCalvo Sotelo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%33%100%67%
1.50%0%33%33%
2.50%0%33%33%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIllescasCalvo Sotelo
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricIllescasCalvo Sotelo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricIllescasCalvo Sotelo
Wins00
Draws21
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-13-0—
Biggest losses——1-3—
Goals For0131
Goals Against0131

Model comparison

MetricIllescasCalvo Sotelo
Form56%44%
Att29%71%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h20%80%
Goals29%71%
Total42.8%57.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Calvo Sotelo and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Illescas = 0.53 (league 1.32), Calvo Sotelo = 0.30 (league 1.00)

Calvo Sotelo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Illescas 0 43.7% 13.0% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.1% 6.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.8% · Draw 50.9% · Away win 16.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1