Expected Goals
2.11 (league 1.42) 0.81 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.2% 19.4% 13.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.0%
1 - 0
11.4%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Alianza Lima
0 1 2 3 4 5
Universidad de Chile 0 5.4% 4.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.4% 9.2% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.0% 9.7% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.4% 6.8% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.4% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUniversidad de ChileAlianza Lima
Played45
Form58%73%
Attack88%88%
Defense75%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.52 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Universidad de Chile Alianza Lima
HATHAT
Played224325
Wins100%0%50%67%50%60%
Draws0%50%25%33%50%40%
Loses0%50%25%0%0%0%

Form: Universidad de Chile: WLWD • Alianza Lima: WDWWD

League goals

Metric Universidad de Chile Alianza Lima
HATHAT
GF total617437
GF avg3.00.51.81.31.51.4
GA total022022
GA avg0.01.00.50.01.00.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUniversidad de ChileAlianza Lima
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%25%80%40%
1.525%25%60%0%
2.525%0%0%0%
3.525%0%0%0%
4.525%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUniversidad de ChileAlianza Lima
HATHAT
Clean sheets213303
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricUniversidad de ChileAlianza Lima
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricUniversidad de ChileAlianza Lima
Wins12
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-02-01-2
Biggest losses2-1
Goals For5122
Goals Against0201

Model comparison

MetricUniversidad de ChileAlianza Lima
Form39%61%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total47.3%52.8%

Advice: Double chance : Universidad de Chile or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ Bet365
Draw3.58 @ Marathonbet
Away4.61 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ Marathonbet
No1.79 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.29 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Universidad de Chile = 2.11 (league 1.42), Alianza Lima = 0.81 (league 0.92)

Alianza Lima
0 1 2 3 4 5
Universidad de Chile 0 5.4% 4.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 11.4% 9.2% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.0% 9.7% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.4% 6.8% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.4% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.2% · Draw 19.4% · Away win 13.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1