Thu, Sep 25 2025 • 18:00 • Estádio Estadual Lourival Baptista
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.62 (league 1.73) 0.48 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.4% 3.0% 0.9%
best score tips
4 - 0
11.5%
5 - 0
10.6%
3 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Boca Júnior
0 1 2 3 4 5
Desportiva Aracaju 0 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.5% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.0% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.5% 5.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 10.6% 5.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDesportiva AracajuBoca Júnior
Played22
Form67%50%
Attack31%13%
Defense94%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 2.52 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.52 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Desportiva Aracaju Boca Júnior
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins100%0%50%100%0%50%
Draws0%100%50%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%100%50%

Form: Desportiva Aracaju: WD • Boca Júnior: LW

League goals

Metric Desportiva Aracaju Boca Júnior
HATHAT
GF total415202
GF avg4.01.02.52.00.01.0
GA total011022
GA avg0.01.00.50.02.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDesportiva AracajuBoca Júnior
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%50%50%
1.550%0%50%50%
2.550%0%0%0%
3.550%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDesportiva AracajuBoca Júnior
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricDesportiva AracajuBoca Júnior
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricDesportiva AracajuBoca Júnior
Wins10
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-0
Biggest losses2-0
Goals For4120
Goals Against0102

Model comparison

MetricDesportiva AracajuBoca Júnior
Form57%43%
Att71%29%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total65.0%35.0%

Advice: Winner : Desportiva Aracaju

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.03 @ William Hill
Draw17.00 @ William Hill
Away41.00 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ William Hill
No1.57 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.20 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.56.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Desportiva Aracaju = 4.62 (league 1.73), Boca Júnior = 0.48 (league 1.03)

Boca Júnior
0 1 2 3 4 5
Desportiva Aracaju 0 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.5% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.0% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.5% 5.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 10.6% 5.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.4% · Draw 3.0% · Away win 0.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1