Sergipano - 2
— Brazil
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 18:00 •
Estadio Adolfo Rollemberg
Expected Goals
3.36 (league 1.79)
1.46 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.5% | 13.2% | 12.6% |
best score tips
3 - 1
7.5%
2 - 1
6.7%
4 - 1
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Caninde | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Frei Paulistano | 0 | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Frei Paulistano | Caninde |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 17% | 50% |
| Attack | 15% | 15% |
| Defense | 80% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1.5 | 3 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 2 | 5 | 2.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Frei Paulistano | Caninde | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 100% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
Form: Frei Paulistano: LD • Caninde: LW
League goals
| Metric | Frei Paulistano | Caninde | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 2.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Frei Paulistano | Caninde | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 100% | 50% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Frei Paulistano | Caninde | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Frei Paulistano | Caninde |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Frei Paulistano | Caninde |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | — | — | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Frei Paulistano | Caninde |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 50.5% | 49.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Frei Paulistano or draw and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Frei Paulistano = 3.36 (league 1.79), Caninde = 1.46 (league 1.03)
| Caninde | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Frei Paulistano | 0 | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.5% · Draw 13.2% · Away win 12.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1