Independente Simão Dias vs Desportiva Aracaju

Sergipano - 2 — Brazil

Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 18:00 • Estádio Estadual de Simão Dias

Match Finished

Independente Simão Dias

0 - 2

Desportiva Aracaju

Expected Goals

0.05 (league 1.73) 1.94 (league 1.03)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
0.7%	15.1%	82.7%

best score tips

0 - 1

26.6%

0 - 2

25.7%

0 - 3

16.6%

Score & goals probability table

		Desportiva Aracaju
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Independente Simão Dias	0	13.7%	26.6%	25.7%	16.6%	8.0%	3.1%
	1	0.7%	1.3%	1.3%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%
	2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Independente Simão Dias	Desportiva Aracaju
Played	3	3
Form	0%	78%
Attack	0%	62%
Defense	67%	90%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	0 \| 0	13 \| 4.3
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	7 \| 2.3	2 \| 0.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%

FT probability

2.5+

57%

FT probability

3.5+

40%

FT probability

BTTS

68%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Independente Simão Dias			Desportiva Aracaju
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	1	2	3	2	1	3
Wins	0%	0%	0%	100%	0%	67%
Draws	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%	33%
Loses	100%	100%	100%	0%	0%	0%

Form: Independente Simão Dias: LLL • Desportiva Aracaju: WDW

League goals

Metric	Independente Simão Dias			Desportiva Aracaju
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	0	0	0	12	1	13
GF avg	0.0	0.0	0.0	6.0	1.0	4.3
GA total	2	5	7	1	1	2
GA avg	2.0	2.5	2.3	0.5	1.0	0.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Independente Simão Dias		Desportiva Aracaju
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	0%	100%	100%	67%
1.5	0%	100%	67%	0%
2.5	0%	33%	67%	0%
3.5	0%	0%	67%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	33%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Independente Simão Dias			Desportiva Aracaju
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	0	0	0	1	0	1
Failed to score	1	2	3	0	0	0

Penalties

Metric	Independente Simão Dias	Desportiva Aracaju
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Independente Simão Dias	Desportiva Aracaju
Wins	0	1
Draws	0	1
Losses	3	0

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	—	—	8-1	—
Biggest losses	0-2	3-0	—	—
Goals For	0	0	8	1
Goals Against	2	3	1	1

Model comparison

Metric	Independente Simão Dias	Desportiva Aracaju
Form	0%	100%
Att	0%	100%
Def	22%	78%
Poisson Distribution	0%	100%
H2h	0%	100%
Goals	40%	60%
Total	31.0%	69.0%

Advice: Winner : Desportiva Aracaju

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Independente Simão Dias vs Desportiva Aracaju

Expected goals (λ): Independente Simão Dias = 0.05 (league 1.73), Desportiva Aracaju = 1.94 (league 1.03)

		Desportiva Aracaju
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Independente Simão Dias	0	13.7%	26.6%	25.7%	16.6%	8.0%	3.1%
	1	0.7%	1.3%	1.3%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%
	2	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.7% · Draw 15.1% · Away win 82.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	Independente Simão Dias	Desportiva Aracaju
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0