Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 18:00 •
Estádio Denison Fontes Souza
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.73)
2.90 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.5% | 16.7% | 54.5% |
best score tips
1 - 2
7.1%
1 - 3
6.9%
2 - 2
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Frei Paulistano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Olímpico SE | 0 | 1.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 1.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Olímpico SE | Frei Paulistano |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 78% | 44% |
| Attack | 24% | 33% |
| Defense | 95% | 76% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.7 | 7 | 2.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 5 | 1.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
84%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Olímpico SE | Frei Paulistano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 100% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
Form: Olímpico SE: WDW • Frei Paulistano: LDW
League goals
| Metric | Olímpico SE | Frei Paulistano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Olímpico SE | Frei Paulistano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 33% | 67% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 0% | 67% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 67% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Olímpico SE | Frei Paulistano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Olímpico SE | Frei Paulistano |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Olímpico SE | Frei Paulistano |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-2 | 4-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Olímpico SE | Frei Paulistano |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 83% | 17% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 54.5% | 45.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Olímpico SE or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Olímpico SE = 1.73 (league 1.73), Frei Paulistano = 2.90 (league 1.03)
| Frei Paulistano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Olímpico SE | 0 | 1.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 1.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.5% · Draw 16.7% · Away win 54.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1