Atlético Gloriense vs Independente Simão Dias

Sergipano - 2 — Brazil

Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 18:00 • Estádio Municipal Edilton Oliveira da Silva

Not Started

Atlético Gloriense

—

Independente Simão Dias

Expected Goals

2.31 (league 1.73) 0.05 (league 1.03)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
85.9%	10.6%	0.5%

best score tips

2 - 0

25.2%

1 - 0

21.8%

3 - 0

19.4%

Score & goals probability table

		Independente Simão Dias
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Atlético Gloriense	0	9.5%	0.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	21.8%	1.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	25.2%	1.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	19.4%	1.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	11.2%	0.6%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	5.2%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Atlético Gloriense	Independente Simão Dias
Played	5	5
Form	87%	7%
Attack	82%	9%
Defense	100%	0%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	9 \| 1.8	1 \| 0.2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	0 \| 0	11 \| 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%

FT probability

2.5+

42%

FT probability

3.5+

30%

FT probability

BTTS

52%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Atlético Gloriense			Independente Simão Dias
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	3	3	6	3	3	6
Wins	100%	67%	83%	0%	0%	0%
Draws	0%	33%	17%	0%	33%	17%
Loses	0%	0%	0%	100%	67%	83%

Form: Atlético Gloriense: WWWDWW • Independente Simão Dias: LLLLDL

League goals

Metric	Atlético Gloriense			Independente Simão Dias
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	6	4	10	0	1	1
GF avg	2.0	1.3	1.7	0.0	0.3	0.2
GA total	0	0	0	7	6	13
GA avg	0.0	0.0	0.0	2.3	2.0	2.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Atlético Gloriense		Independente Simão Dias
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	83%	0%	17%	100%
1.5	67%	0%	0%	83%
2.5	17%	0%	0%	33%
3.5	0%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Atlético Gloriense			Independente Simão Dias
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	3	3	6	0	0	0
Failed to score	0	1	1	3	2	5

Penalties

Metric	Atlético Gloriense	Independente Simão Dias
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Atlético Gloriense	Independente Simão Dias
Wins	3	0
Draws	1	1
Losses	0	4

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-0	0-3	—	—
Biggest losses	—	—	0-3	3-0
Goals For	2	3	0	1
Goals Against	0	0	3	3

Model comparison

Metric	Atlético Gloriense	Independente Simão Dias
Form	93%	7%
Att	90%	10%
Def	100%	0%
Poisson Distribution	100%	0%
H2h	0%	0%
Goals	0%	0%
Total	91.5%	8.5%

Advice: Winner : Atlético Gloriense

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Atlético Gloriense vs Independente Simão Dias

Expected goals (λ): Atlético Gloriense = 2.31 (league 1.73), Independente Simão Dias = 0.05 (league 1.03)

		Independente Simão Dias
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Atlético Gloriense	0	9.5%	0.5%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	21.8%	1.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	25.2%	1.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	19.4%	1.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	11.2%	0.6%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	5.2%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 85.9% · Draw 10.6% · Away win 0.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	Atlético Gloriense	Independente Simão Dias
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0