Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 18:00 •
Estadio Adolfo Rollemberg
Expected Goals
0.52 (league 1.73)
1.26 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.3% | 29.9% | 54.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
21.3%
0 - 0
16.9%
0 - 2
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Desportiva Aracaju | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Frei Paulistano | 0 | 16.9% | 21.3% | 13.4% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 8.8% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Frei Paulistano | Desportiva Aracaju |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 87% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 36% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 15 | 3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
92%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Frei Paulistano | Desportiva Aracaju | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 67% | 33% | 50% | 100% | 67% | 83% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 17% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| Loses | 33% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Frei Paulistano: LDWLWW • Desportiva Aracaju: WDWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Frei Paulistano | Desportiva Aracaju | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 1.3 | 3.2 |
| GA total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Frei Paulistano | Desportiva Aracaju | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 83% | 100% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | 67% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 17% | 50% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 33% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 17% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Frei Paulistano | Desportiva Aracaju | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Frei Paulistano | Desportiva Aracaju |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Frei Paulistano | Desportiva Aracaju |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-3 | 8-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 8 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Frei Paulistano | Desportiva Aracaju |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 22% | 78% |
| Poisson Distribution | 32% | 68% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 36.8% | 63.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Desportiva Aracaju
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Frei Paulistano = 0.52 (league 1.73), Desportiva Aracaju = 1.26 (league 1.03)
| Desportiva Aracaju | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Frei Paulistano | 0 | 16.9% | 21.3% | 13.4% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 8.8% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.3% · Draw 29.9% · Away win 54.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1