Frei Paulistano vs Desportiva Aracaju

Sergipano - 2 — Brazil

Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 18:00 • Estadio Adolfo Rollemberg

Not Started

Frei Paulistano

—

Desportiva Aracaju

Expected Goals

0.51 (league 1.76) 1.05 (league 1.24)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
17.7%	33.8%	48.4%

best score tips

0 - 1

22.1%

0 - 0

21.0%

0 - 2

11.6%

Score & goals probability table

		Desportiva Aracaju
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Frei Paulistano	0	21.0%	22.1%	11.6%	4.1%	1.1%	0.2%
	1	10.7%	11.3%	5.9%	2.1%	0.5%	0.1%
	2	2.7%	2.9%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	0.5%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Frei Paulistano	Desportiva Aracaju
Played	5	5
Form	67%	87%
Attack	100%	100%
Defense	36%	82%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	15 \| 3	15 \| 3
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	2 \| 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.70

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%

FT probability

2.5+

65%

FT probability

3.5+

46%

FT probability

BTTS

71%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Frei Paulistano			Desportiva Aracaju
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	3	3	6	3	3	6
Wins	67%	33%	50%	100%	67%	83%
Draws	0%	33%	17%	0%	33%	17%
Loses	33%	33%	33%	0%	0%	0%

Form: Frei Paulistano: LDWLWW • Desportiva Aracaju: WDWWWW

League goals

Metric	Frei Paulistano			Desportiva Aracaju
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	9	6	15	15	4	19
GF avg	3.0	2.0	2.5	5.0	1.3	3.2
GA total	3	5	8	1	1	2
GA avg	1.0	1.7	1.3	0.3	0.3	0.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Frei Paulistano		Desportiva Aracaju
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	67%	83%	100%	33%
1.5	67%	33%	67%	0%
2.5	67%	17%	50%	0%
3.5	33%	0%	33%	0%
4.5	17%	0%	17%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Frei Paulistano			Desportiva Aracaju
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	0	1	1	2	2	4
Failed to score	1	1	2	0	0	0

Penalties

Metric	Frei Paulistano	Desportiva Aracaju
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Frei Paulistano	Desportiva Aracaju
Wins	1	1
Draws	1	1
Losses	1	0

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	5-1	0-3	8-1	0-2
Biggest losses	0-1	2-0	—	—
Goals For	5	3	8	2
Goals Against	1	3	1	1

Model comparison

Metric	Frei Paulistano	Desportiva Aracaju
Form	43%	57%
Att	50%	50%
Def	22%	78%
Poisson Distribution	32%	68%
H2h	0%	0%
Goals	0%	0%
Total	36.8%	63.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Desportiva Aracaju

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Frei Paulistano vs Desportiva Aracaju

Expected goals (λ): Frei Paulistano = 0.51 (league 1.76), Desportiva Aracaju = 1.05 (league 1.24)

		Desportiva Aracaju
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Frei Paulistano	0	21.0%	22.1%	11.6%	4.1%	1.1%	0.2%
	1	10.7%	11.3%	5.9%	2.1%	0.5%	0.1%
	2	2.7%	2.9%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	0.5%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.7% · Draw 33.8% · Away win 48.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	Frei Paulistano	Desportiva Aracaju
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0