Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 19:00 •
Estádio Estadual Lourival Baptista
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.79)
0.38 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.4% | 66.4% | 30.2% |
best score tips
0 - 0
65.1%
0 - 1
24.7%
0 - 2
4.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Atlético Gloriense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Desportiva Aracaju | 0 | 65.1% | 24.7% | 4.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Desportiva Aracaju | Atlético Gloriense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 87% |
| Attack | 75% | 70% |
| Defense | 95% | 100% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
6.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
0.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
87%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Desportiva Aracaju | Atlético Gloriense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 100% | 75% | 86% | 100% | 67% | 86% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 14% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Desportiva Aracaju: WDWWWWW • Atlético Gloriense: WWWDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Desportiva Aracaju | Atlético Gloriense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 17 |
| GF avg | 5.0 | 1.3 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 2.4 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Desportiva Aracaju | Atlético Gloriense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 29% | 86% | 0% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 0% | 71% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 43% | 0% | 29% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 29% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 14% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Desportiva Aracaju | Atlético Gloriense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Desportiva Aracaju | Atlético Gloriense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Desportiva Aracaju | Atlético Gloriense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 8-1 | 0-2 | 7-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 8 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Desportiva Aracaju | Atlético Gloriense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 52% | 48% |
| Def | 0% | 100% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 53.0% | 47.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Atlético Gloriense
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Desportiva Aracaju = 0.05 (league 1.79), Atlético Gloriense = 0.38 (league 1.03)
| Atlético Gloriense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Desportiva Aracaju | 0 | 65.1% | 24.7% | 4.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.4% · Draw 66.4% · Away win 30.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1
