Wed, Oct 15 2025 • 18:00 • Estádio Estadual Lourival Baptista
Match Finished
Expected Goals
5.19 (league 1.73) 0.97 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.7% 3.6% 1.9%
best score tips
5 - 0
6.6%
5 - 1
6.4%
4 - 0
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico Central
0 1 2 3 4 5
Desportiva Aracaju 0 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.8% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.9% 4.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.4% 6.2% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
5 6.6% 6.4% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDesportiva AracajuAtletico Central
Played55
Form87%27%
Attack100%36%
Defense86%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)16 | 3.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

8.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

81%
FT probability

3.5+

58%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Desportiva Aracaju Atletico Central
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins100%67%80%0%50%20%
Draws0%33%20%33%0%20%
Loses0%0%0%67%50%60%

Form: Desportiva Aracaju: WDWWW • Atletico Central: LLLWD

League goals

Metric Desportiva Aracaju Atletico Central
HATHAT
GF total12416145
GF avg6.01.33.20.32.01.0
GA total112538
GA avg0.50.30.41.71.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDesportiva AracajuAtletico Central
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%40%60%80%
1.560%0%20%60%
2.540%0%20%20%
3.540%0%0%0%
4.520%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDesportiva AracajuAtletico Central
HATHAT
Clean sheets123011
Failed to score000202

Penalties

MetricDesportiva AracajuAtletico Central
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricDesportiva AracajuAtletico Central
Wins11
Draws10
Losses03

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins8-10-20-3
Biggest losses0-23-1
Goals For8213
Goals Against1123

Model comparison

MetricDesportiva AracajuAtletico Central
Form76%24%
Att76%24%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total79.0%21.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : Desportiva Aracaju and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Desportiva Aracaju = 5.19 (league 1.73), Atletico Central = 0.97 (league 1.03)

Atletico Central
0 1 2 3 4 5
Desportiva Aracaju 0 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 2.8% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.9% 4.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.4% 6.2% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
5 6.6% 6.4% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.7% · Draw 3.6% · Away win 1.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1