Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 18:00 • Estadio De Futebol João Cruz
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.29 (league 1.73) 3.29 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.5% 6.2% 80.8%
best score tips
0 - 3
16.5%
0 - 2
15.0%
0 - 4
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
Frei Paulistano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Central 0 2.8% 9.1% 15.0% 16.5% 13.6% 8.9%
1 0.8% 2.7% 4.4% 4.8% 4.0% 2.6%
2 0.1% 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico CentralFrei Paulistano
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack30%60%
Defense65%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico Central Frei Paulistano
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins0%50%29%50%33%43%
Draws33%0%14%0%33%14%
Loses67%50%57%50%33%43%

Form: Atletico Central: LLLWDLW • Frei Paulistano: LDWLWWL

League goals

Metric Atletico Central Frei Paulistano
HATHAT
GF total1679615
GF avg0.31.51.02.32.02.1
GA total5712459
GA avg1.71.81.71.01.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico CentralFrei Paulistano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%86%57%86%
1.529%57%57%29%
2.514%29%57%14%
3.50%0%29%0%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico CentralFrei Paulistano
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score213213

Penalties

MetricAtletico CentralFrei Paulistano
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAtletico CentralFrei Paulistano
Wins12
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-35-10-3
Biggest losses0-23-00-12-0
Goals For1353
Goals Against2313

Model comparison

MetricAtletico CentralFrei Paulistano
Form44%56%
Att33%67%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution10%90%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total32.3%67.8%

Advice: Winner : Frei Paulistano

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico Central = 0.29 (league 1.73), Frei Paulistano = 3.29 (league 1.03)

Frei Paulistano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Central 0 2.8% 9.1% 15.0% 16.5% 13.6% 8.9%
1 0.8% 2.7% 4.4% 4.8% 4.0% 2.6%
2 0.1% 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.5% · Draw 6.2% · Away win 80.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1