Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 21:30 • Estadio Félix Capriles
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.89) 1.32 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.2% 25.8% 35.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.3%
1 - 0
9.3%
0 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Nacional Potosí
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aurora 0 6.8% 8.9% 5.9% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
1 9.3% 12.3% 8.1% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.4% 8.4% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.9% 3.9% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAuroraNacional Potosí
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack50%42%
Defense58%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aurora Nacional Potosí
HATHAT
Played101121111122
Wins50%27%38%36%18%27%
Draws20%18%19%9%45%27%
Loses30%55%43%55%36%45%

Form: Aurora: WLWLDDLLWWDDWLLLWWWLL • Nacional Potosí: LLWDLWDLDDDLWWLLWLLWDL

League goals

Metric Aurora Nacional Potosí
HATHAT
GF total201838221335
GF avg2.01.61.82.01.21.6
GA total132639171431
GA avg1.32.41.91.51.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAuroraNacional Potosí
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%90%68%86%
1.557%52%45%45%
2.524%24%23%9%
3.514%10%14%0%
4.55%10%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAuroraNacional Potosí
HATHAT
Clean sheets112123
Failed to score224257

Penalties

MetricAuroraNacional Potosí
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%3 | 75.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 25.00%
Total84

Streaks

MetricAuroraNacional Potosí
Wins32
Draws23
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-12-45-12-5
Biggest losses0-25-20-22-0
Goals For5455
Goals Against2532

Model comparison

MetricAuroraNacional Potosí
Form69%31%
Att55%45%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h50%50%
Goals56%44%
Total55.3%44.7%

Advice: Double chance : Aurora or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ 188Bet
Draw4.10 @ Superbet
Away5.25 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.43 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ Pinnacle
No2.31 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aurora = 1.38 (league 1.89), Nacional Potosí = 1.32 (league 1.19)

Nacional Potosí
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aurora 0 6.8% 8.9% 5.9% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
1 9.3% 12.3% 8.1% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.4% 8.4% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.9% 3.9% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.2% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 35.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1