FA Cup — England
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • Penydarren Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.60 (league 1.74) 0.05 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.3% 1.2% 0.1%
best score tips
4 - 0
17.8%
5 - 0
16.4%
3 - 0
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
Hampton & Richmond
0 1 2 3 4 5
Merthyr Town 0 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 17.8% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 16.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMerthyr TownHampton & Richmond
Played11
Form100%100%
Attack36%36%
Defense100%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 44 | 4
Goals Against (tot | avg)0 | 02 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

8.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Merthyr Town Hampton & Richmond
HATHAT
Played101101
Wins100%—100%100%—100%
Draws0%—0%0%—0%
Loses0%—0%0%—0%

Form: Merthyr Town: W • Hampton & Richmond: W

League goals

Metric Merthyr Town Hampton & Richmond
HATHAT
GF total404404
GF avg4.00.04.04.00.04.0
GA total000202
GA avg0.00.00.02.00.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMerthyr TownHampton & Richmond
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%0%100%100%
1.5100%0%100%100%
2.5100%0%100%0%
3.5100%0%100%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMerthyr TownHampton & Richmond
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricMerthyr TownHampton & Richmond
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMerthyr TownHampton & Richmond
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-0—4-2—
Biggest losses————
Goals For4040
Goals Against0020

Model comparison

MetricMerthyr TownHampton & Richmond
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def100%0%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Merthyr Town or draw and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.35 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.52 @ Marathonbet
Away2.63 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.15 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.54 @ Marathonbet
No2.29 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Merthyr Town = 4.60 (league 1.74), Hampton & Richmond = 0.05 (league 1.46)

Hampton & Richmond
0 1 2 3 4 5
Merthyr Town 0 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 4.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 17.8% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 16.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.3% · Draw 1.2% · Away win 0.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1