Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 14:00 • Craik Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.74) 0.69 (league 1.46)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.7% 31.2% 21.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.3%
0 - 0
15.9%
1 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Southport
0 1 2 3 4 5
Morpeth Town 0 15.9% 10.9% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.3% 12.6% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.5% 7.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMorpeth TownSouthport
Played22
Form100%67%
Attack36%36%
Defense82%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 24 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 13 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

92%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Morpeth Town Southport
HATHAT
Played202112
Wins100%100%100%0%50%
Draws0%0%0%100%50%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%

Form: Morpeth Town: WW • Southport: DW

League goals

Metric Morpeth Town Southport
HATHAT
GF total404314
GF avg2.00.02.03.01.02.0
GA total202213
GA avg1.00.01.02.01.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMorpeth TownSouthport
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%0%50%50%
2.50%0%50%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMorpeth TownSouthport
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricMorpeth TownSouthport
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMorpeth TownSouthport
Wins20
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-13-2
Biggest losses
Goals For2031
Goals Against1021

Model comparison

MetricMorpeth TownSouthport
Form60%40%
Att50%50%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h50%50%
Goals67%33%
Total58.2%41.8%

Advice: Double chance : Morpeth Town or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.69 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.30 @ Marathonbet
Away2.41 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Marathonbet
No1.86 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Morpeth Town = 1.15 (league 1.74), Southport = 0.69 (league 1.46)

Southport
0 1 2 3 4 5
Morpeth Town 0 15.9% 10.9% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.3% 12.6% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.5% 7.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.7% · Draw 31.2% · Away win 21.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1