Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 00:00 •
Estadio Olímpico Patria
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.81)
0.86 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.9% | 33.5% | 32.5% |
best score tips
0 - 0
17.5%
1 - 0
15.5%
0 - 1
15.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Bolívar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Independiente Petrolero | 0 | 17.5% | 15.0% | 6.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.5% | 13.3% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Independiente Petrolero | Bolívar |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 33% |
| Attack | 53% | 32% |
| Defense | 58% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Independiente Petrolero | Bolívar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 40% | 40% | 40% | 60% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 22% |
| Loses | 60% | 60% | 60% | 40% | 50% | 44% |
Form: Independiente Petrolero: LLLLWLWWWL • Bolívar: LWLWLDWDL
League goals
| Metric | Independiente Petrolero | Bolívar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 5 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Independiente Petrolero | Bolívar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 70% | 89% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 50% | 44% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 30% | 11% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Independiente Petrolero | Bolívar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Independiente Petrolero | Bolívar |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Independiente Petrolero | Bolívar |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-3 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 2-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Independiente Petrolero | Bolívar |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 51% | 49% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 21% | 79% |
| Total | 44.3% | 55.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Independiente Petrolero or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Independiente Petrolero = 0.88 (league 1.81), Bolívar = 0.86 (league 1.16)
| Bolívar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Independiente Petrolero | 0 | 17.5% | 15.0% | 6.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.5% | 13.3% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.9% · Draw 33.5% · Away win 32.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1