Wed, Oct 15 2025 • 19:00 • Stadio Tre Fontane
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.86) 4.41 (league 1.59)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
6.5% 8.1% 57.0%
best score tips
1 - 4
6.5%
1 - 3
5.9%
1 - 5
5.7%
Score & goals probability table
Barcelona W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Roma W 0 0.3% 1.3% 2.8% 4.1% 4.5% 4.0%
1 0.4% 1.8% 4.0% 5.9% 6.5% 5.7%
2 0.3% 1.3% 2.9% 4.3% 4.7% 4.2%
3 0.1% 0.6% 1.4% 2.1% 2.3% 2.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRoma WBarcelona W
Played51
Form60%100%
Attack57%33%
Defense57%95%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.47 | 7
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.81 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

9.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

80%
FT probability

3.5+

57%
FT probability

BTTS

87%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Roma W Barcelona W
HATHAT
Played325101
Wins67%50%60%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%
Loses33%50%40%0%0%

Form: Roma W: WWLWL • Barcelona W: W

League goals

Metric Roma W Barcelona W
HATHAT
GF total8412707
GF avg2.72.02.47.00.07.0
GA total369101
GA avg1.03.01.81.00.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRoma WBarcelona W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%60%100%100%
1.580%40%100%0%
2.520%20%100%0%
3.520%20%100%0%
4.520%20%100%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRoma WBarcelona W
HATHAT
Clean sheets112000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricRoma WBarcelona W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricRoma WBarcelona W
Wins21
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-27-1
Biggest losses1-26-2
Goals For5270
Goals Against2610

Model comparison

MetricRoma WBarcelona W
Form75%25%
Att63%37%
Def10%90%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%100%
Goals14%86%
Total40.5%59.5%

Advice: Combo Winner : Barcelona W and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home38.00 @ Marathonbet
Draw21.00 @ Bet365
Away1.04 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.57.90 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.62 @ 10Bet
No2.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Roma W = 1.45 (league 1.86), Barcelona W = 4.41 (league 1.59)

Barcelona W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Roma W 0 0.3% 1.3% 2.8% 4.1% 4.5% 4.0%
1 0.4% 1.8% 4.0% 5.9% 6.5% 5.7%
2 0.3% 1.3% 2.9% 4.3% 4.7% 4.2%
3 0.1% 0.6% 1.4% 2.1% 2.3% 2.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.5% · Draw 8.1% · Away win 57.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1