Tue, Oct 7 2025 • 18:45 •
Pennybridge Lane
Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.45)
1.08 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 25.5% | 31.9% | 42.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
17.1%
0 - 0
15.9%
1 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Bury | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Trafford | 0 | 15.9% | 17.1% | 9.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 13.0% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Trafford | Bury |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 53% |
| Attack | 83% | 42% |
| Defense | 0% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Trafford | Bury | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Wins | 20% | 0% | 11% | 75% | 0% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 11% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| Loses | 80% | 75% | 78% | 25% | 0% | 17% |
Form: Trafford: LLLLLLLDW • Bury: WDDLWW
League goals
| Metric | Trafford | Bury | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 3 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 14 | 6 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GA avg | 2.8 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Trafford | Bury | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 100% | 67% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 67% | 17% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 22% | 17% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 22% | 11% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Trafford | Bury | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Trafford | Bury |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Trafford | Bury |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | — | 3-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 4-6 | 2-1 | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Trafford | Bury |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 20% | 80% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 40.0% | 60.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Bury
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Trafford = 0.76 (league 1.45), Bury = 1.08 (league 1.30)
| Bury | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Trafford | 0 | 15.9% | 17.1% | 9.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 13.0% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.5% · Draw 31.9% · Away win 42.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1