Tue, Oct 7 2025 • 18:45 •
The Scholars Ground
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.47)
0.14 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.8% | 40.5% | 5.6% |
best score tips
0 - 0
36.0%
1 - 0
31.8%
2 - 0
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Newcastle Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chasetown | 0 | 36.0% | 5.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 31.8% | 4.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.1% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chasetown | Newcastle Town |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 67% | 50% |
| Defense | 67% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
49%
FT probability
2.5+
34%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
46%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chasetown | Newcastle Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 67% | 50% | 57% | 60% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 0% | 25% | 11% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 14% | 40% | 75% | 56% |
Form: Chasetown: DWLDWWW • Newcastle Town: LWLLLDLWW
League goals
| Metric | Chasetown | Newcastle Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chasetown | Newcastle Town | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 29% | 56% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 14% | 22% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 14% | 11% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chasetown | Newcastle Town | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chasetown | Newcastle Town |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chasetown | Newcastle Town |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-2 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chasetown | Newcastle Town |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 64.4% | 35.6% |
Advice: Double chance : Chasetown or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Chasetown = 0.89 (league 1.47), Newcastle Town = 0.14 (league 1.31)
| Newcastle Town | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chasetown | 0 | 36.0% | 5.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 31.8% | 4.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.1% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.8% · Draw 40.5% · Away win 5.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1