Tue, Oct 21 2025 • 18:45 •
Seel Park
Expected Goals
0.44 (league 1.45)
0.19 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.7% | 57.6% | 11.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
53.0%
1 - 0
23.5%
0 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Bury | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mossley | 0 | 53.0% | 10.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.5% | 4.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mossley | Bury |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 80% |
| Attack | 41% | 76% |
| Defense | 76% | 65% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
53%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
50%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mossley | Bury | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| Wins | 17% | 17% | 17% | 86% | 25% | 64% |
| Draws | 50% | 67% | 58% | 0% | 50% | 18% |
| Loses | 33% | 17% | 25% | 14% | 25% | 18% |
Form: Mossley: LDDDLWDWLDDD • Bury: WDDLWWWWWWL
League goals
| Metric | Mossley | Bury | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 11 | 16 | 17 | 2 | 19 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 3 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mossley | Bury | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 58% | 67% | 73% | 45% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 25% | 36% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 8% | 36% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 18% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mossley | Bury | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mossley | Bury |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mossley | Bury |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-4 | 4-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-2 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mossley | Bury |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 35% | 65% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 49.0% | 51.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Mossley or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mossley = 0.44 (league 1.45), Bury = 0.19 (league 1.30)
| Bury | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mossley | 0 | 53.0% | 10.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.5% | 4.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.7% · Draw 57.6% · Away win 11.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1