Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 14:00 • Red Industries Lyme Valley Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.59) 0.61 (league 1.31)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.7% 33.2% 21.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.9%
0 - 0
18.9%
1 - 1
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Nantwich Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newcastle Town 0 18.9% 11.5% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.9% 12.2% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.5% 6.4% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewcastle TownNantwich Town
Played55
Form53%80%
Attack27%41%
Defense73%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newcastle Town Nantwich Town
HATHAT
Played77145510
Wins57%0%29%80%40%60%
Draws14%29%21%20%0%10%
Loses29%71%50%0%60%30%

Form: Newcastle Town: LWLLLDLWLWLDWD • Nantwich Town: WWLDLWLWWW

League goals

Metric Newcastle Town Nantwich Town
HATHAT
GF total1011112416
GF avg1.40.10.82.40.81.6
GA total79164610
GA avg1.01.31.10.81.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewcastle TownNantwich Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%57%80%70%
1.521%36%50%30%
2.57%21%30%0%
3.57%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewcastle TownNantwich Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets426213
Failed to score268022

Penalties

MetricNewcastle TownNantwich Town
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricNewcastle TownNantwich Town
Wins12
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—3-01-2
Biggest losses0-23-0—2-0
Goals For4132
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricNewcastle TownNantwich Town
Form40%60%
Att40%60%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total47.3%52.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Nantwich Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newcastle Town = 1.06 (league 1.59), Nantwich Town = 0.61 (league 1.31)

Nantwich Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newcastle Town 0 18.9% 11.5% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.9% 12.2% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.5% 6.4% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.7% · Draw 33.2% · Away win 21.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1