Wed, Oct 22 2025 • 23:00 • Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.44) 0.46 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.1% 21.9% 9.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.3%
2 - 0
16.8%
0 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
Once Caldas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Nacional 0 11.1% 5.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.3% 8.8% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.8% 7.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.7% 4.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico NacionalOnce Caldas
Played55
Form87%60%
Attack92%100%
Defense83%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico Nacional Once Caldas
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins100%67%80%67%50%60%
Draws0%33%20%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%33%50%40%

Form: Atletico Nacional: WWWDW • Once Caldas: WLWWL

League goals

Metric Atletico Nacional Once Caldas
HATHAT
GF total561110212
GF avg2.52.02.23.31.02.4
GA total022123
GA avg0.00.70.40.31.00.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico NacionalOnce Caldas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%20%60%60%
1.560%20%60%0%
2.540%0%40%0%
3.520%0%40%0%
4.50%0%20%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico NacionalOnce Caldas
HATHAT
Clean sheets224202
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricAtletico NacionalOnce Caldas
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricAtletico NacionalOnce Caldas
Wins32
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-36-01-2
Biggest losses0-11-0
Goals For4362
Goals Against0211

Model comparison

MetricAtletico NacionalOnce Caldas
Form59%41%
Att48%52%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h93%7%
Goals83%17%
Total68.6%31.4%

Advice: Double chance : Atletico Nacional or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.61 @ Unibet
Draw3.85 @ 188Bet
Away6.25 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.77 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.18 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Atletico Nacional = 1.74 (league 1.44), Once Caldas = 0.46 (league 0.87)

Once Caldas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Nacional 0 11.1% 5.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.3% 8.8% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.8% 7.7% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.7% 4.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.1% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 9.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1