First League — Russia
Mon, Oct 20 2025 • 15:30 • Centralnyy
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.22) 1.97 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.2% 21.4% 58.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
10.3%
0 - 2
10.1%
1 - 1
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
FK Neftekhimik
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chernomorets 0 5.2% 10.3% 10.1% 6.6% 3.3% 1.3%
1 5.1% 10.1% 10.0% 6.5% 3.2% 1.3%
2 2.5% 5.0% 4.9% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6%
3 0.8% 1.6% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChernomoretsFK Neftekhimik
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack82%73%
Defense55%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chernomorets FK Neftekhimik
HATHAT
Played68149514
Wins50%13%29%22%40%29%
Draws0%38%21%44%40%43%
Loses50%50%50%33%20%29%

Form: Chernomorets: DLLDLLLDWWLWWL • FK Neftekhimik: DDDWLLDLDWWWDL

League goals

Metric Chernomorets FK Neftekhimik
HATHAT
GF total99187815
GF avg1.51.11.30.81.61.1
GA total8111912416
GA avg1.31.41.41.30.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChernomoretsFK Neftekhimik
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%93%71%57%
1.529%36%21%21%
2.521%7%7%21%
3.514%0%7%7%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChernomoretsFK Neftekhimik
HATHAT
Clean sheets101516
Failed to score235314

Penalties

MetricChernomoretsFK Neftekhimik
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricChernomoretsFK Neftekhimik
Wins23
Draws13
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-41-01-4
Biggest losses0-22-01-51-0
Goals For4424
Goals Against2351

Model comparison

MetricChernomoretsFK Neftekhimik
Form47%53%
Att53%47%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total47.8%52.2%

Advice: Double chance : Chernomorets or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ 1xBet
Draw3.29 @ Pinnacle
Away4.18 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.48 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.56 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ Pinnacle
No1.69 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Chernomorets = 0.98 (league 1.22), FK Neftekhimik = 1.97 (league 1.06)

FK Neftekhimik
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chernomorets 0 5.2% 10.3% 10.1% 6.6% 3.3% 1.3%
1 5.1% 10.1% 10.0% 6.5% 3.2% 1.3%
2 2.5% 5.0% 4.9% 3.2% 1.6% 0.6%
3 0.8% 1.6% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.2% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 58.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1