Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 18:30 • Estadio Centenario
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.14 (league 1.21) 0.54 (league 0.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.5% 17.3% 7.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.8%
1 - 0
14.7%
3 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Cerro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Torque 0 6.9% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.7% 7.9% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.8% 8.4% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.3% 6.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.0% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico TorqueCerro
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack88%50%
Defense50%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico Torque Cerro
HATHAT
Played65115611
Wins50%60%55%60%33%45%
Draws50%0%27%0%17%9%
Loses0%40%18%40%50%45%

Form: Atletico Torque: LDWWWDWWLWD • Cerro: DLWWLLLWWLW

League goals

Metric Atletico Torque Cerro
HATHAT
GF total12921549
GF avg2.01.81.91.00.70.8
GA total49134812
GA avg0.71.81.20.81.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico TorqueCerro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%55%64%55%
1.555%36%18%27%
2.527%9%0%9%
3.518%9%0%9%
4.50%9%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico TorqueCerro
HATHAT
Clean sheets325235
Failed to score011134

Penalties

MetricAtletico TorqueCerro
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAtletico TorqueCerro
Wins32
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-02-42-10-2
Biggest losses5-21-25-1
Goals For4422
Goals Against2525

Model comparison

MetricAtletico TorqueCerro
Form53%47%
Att64%36%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h93%7%
Goals75%25%
Total71.5%28.5%

Advice: Double chance : Atletico Torque or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.65 @ William Hill
Draw3.90 @ Pinnacle
Away5.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ Pinnacle
No1.75 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.13 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.79 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico Torque = 2.14 (league 1.21), Cerro = 0.54 (league 0.91)

Cerro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Torque 0 6.9% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.7% 7.9% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.8% 8.4% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.3% 6.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.0% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.5% · Draw 17.3% · Away win 7.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1