Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 14:00 • Lydstep Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.00 (league 1.71) 1.40 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.8% 21.7% 26.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.4%
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 0
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Carmarthen Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cardiff Draconians 0 3.4% 4.7% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 6.7% 9.4% 6.5% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.7% 9.4% 6.5% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.5% 6.2% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.2% 3.1% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCardiff DraconiansCarmarthen Town
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack33%67%
Defense52%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.414 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 214 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cardiff Draconians Carmarthen Town
HATHAT
Played91423131225
Wins67%29%43%31%42%36%
Draws0%14%9%54%33%44%
Loses33%57%48%15%25%20%

Form: Cardiff Draconians: LLLWWDWWWDWLWLWLLWLWLLL • Carmarthen Town: WWDWDLDWDDWWDLDLLDDWDLWDW

League goals

Metric Cardiff Draconians Carmarthen Town
HATHAT
GF total171734112334
GF avg1.91.21.50.81.91.4
GA total102232102131
GA avg1.11.61.40.81.81.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCardiff DraconiansCarmarthen Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%74%72%64%
1.548%39%28%32%
2.522%17%16%20%
3.54%4%16%8%
4.50%4%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCardiff DraconiansCarmarthen Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets246549
Failed to score336437

Penalties

MetricCardiff DraconiansCarmarthen Town
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricCardiff DraconiansCarmarthen Town
Wins32
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-32-10-4
Biggest losses0-25-20-23-0
Goals For4325
Goals Against3524

Model comparison

MetricCardiff DraconiansCarmarthen Town
Form27%73%
Att33%67%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total41.0%59.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Carmarthen Town and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.56 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away2.48 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ William Hill
No2.36 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.64 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cardiff Draconians = 2.00 (league 1.71), Carmarthen Town = 1.40 (league 1.50)

Carmarthen Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cardiff Draconians 0 3.4% 4.7% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 6.7% 9.4% 6.5% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.7% 9.4% 6.5% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.5% 6.2% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.2% 3.1% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.8% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 26.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1